Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000454 0.000490 0.000528 0.000569 0.000614 0.000661 0.000714
2026-01-04 0.000391 0.000440 0.000493 0.000555 0.000624 0.000700 0.000789
2026-01-11 0.000352 0.000410 0.000475 0.000553 0.000643 0.000746 0.000872
2026-01-18 0.000323 0.000388 0.000462 0.000553 0.000663 0.000792 0.000954
2026-01-25 0.000299 0.000368 0.000449 0.000552 0.000680 0.000832 0.001030
2026-02-01 0.000275 0.000345 0.000431 0.000542 0.000683 0.000856 0.001085
2026-02-08 0.000254 0.000327 0.000416 0.000535 0.000688 0.000880 0.001140
2026-02-15 0.000237 0.000311 0.000403 0.000528 0.000693 0.000904 0.001195
2026-02-22 0.000223 0.000297 0.000392 0.000522 0.000698 0.000927 0.001250
2026-03-01 0.000209 0.000284 0.000381 0.000516 0.000702 0.000948 0.001301
2026-03-08 0.000196 0.000270 0.000368 0.000507 0.000701 0.000962 0.001342
2026-03-15 0.000185 0.000258 0.000356 0.000499 0.000700 0.000975 0.001383
2026-03-22 0.000169 0.000240 0.000337 0.000480 0.000685 0.000971 0.001402
2026-03-29 0.000158 0.000227 0.000324 0.000469 0.000681 0.000982 0.001444
2026-04-05 0.000150 0.000220 0.000319 0.000468 0.000691 0.001013 0.001516
2026-04-12 0.000143 0.000214 0.000314 0.000469 0.000704 0.001048 0.001594
2026-04-19 0.000137 0.000207 0.000309 0.000469 0.000714 0.001079 0.001668
2026-04-26 0.000129 0.000198 0.000299 0.000460 0.000712 0.001092 0.001715
2026-05-03 0.000122 0.000190 0.000291 0.000454 0.000712 0.001107 0.001766
2026-05-10 0.000116 0.000183 0.000284 0.000448 0.000713 0.001125 0.001820
2026-05-17 0.000111 0.000176 0.000277 0.000444 0.000715 0.001143 0.001877
2026-05-24 0.000105 0.000170 0.000270 0.000438 0.000716 0.001159 0.001930
2026-05-31 0.000100 0.000163 0.000262 0.000431 0.000712 0.001168 0.001971